FSU (4-5) will take on Boston College (5-4) in a game that is pivotal to both teams’ postseason. The Seminoles need to win two of their last regular season games to become bowl-eligible. With a game at home against Alabama State next, a guaranteed win, and in-state rival Florida after that, a win against BC would make FSU a virtual lock for the postseason.
Here are the Osceola’s three keys to an FSU victory against Boston College:
- Run to Win. Gain 140 or more yards on the ground. FSU is 3-1 when it runs for 140 yards or more in a game. Whether it’s out of the conventional spread-offense packages with Alex Hornibrook at quarterback or from the WildCam, FSU must find success in the run game. Success rushing should allow FSU’s to run more plays. The Seminoles have run 72 or more offensive plays in each of their four wins because it was able to run the ball. In its five losses, FSU exceeded the 72-play mark just once (Wake Forest) and ran an average of 63.7 plays a game in its other four losses. The Seminoles are also 3-2 win they run more plays than their opponents.
- Stop the Run. Hold Boston College to less than 47 running plays, to an average of 4.0 yards per running play or less and make them throw the ball at least 30 times. Boston College is 5-0 in games where it has run the ball 48 times or more in a game but 0-4 in games where it has attempted 47 rushing plays or less in a game. They are also 0-3 in games where they have attempted 30 passes or more. Not only must FSU limit the number of times BC feels it should run the ball it also needs to hold BC a lot closer to the Seminole defense’s average of 3.8 yards allowed per rush than the Eagles offense’s average of 5.5 yards per rush.
- Stop the Penalties. In a game that is likely to be close FSU will need to cut down on its penalties and play one its most disciplined games of the season. The Seminoles’ 80 penalties are the fifth most in the FBS season and are giving away over 73 yards per game in hidden yardage. FSU must not beat themselves by taking away yardage and/or field position on offense or giving it away on defense.